Even After 12% Returns, You’re Still Losing Money. Here’s Why!

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12% CAGR = 5~6% Returns

When your mutual fund shows a 12% annual return, it feels like you’ve made it, right? The numbers look great on paper, your SIP is growing, and everything seems to be going just fine.

But here’s a truth bomb:
Even after earning 12% per annum, you might still be losing money.

Sounds shocking? Let’s break it down.


The Illusion of “Good Returns”

Suppose you invested ₹6 lakhs over time — through a SIP or lump sum. After 5 years, your investment grows to around ₹10.52 lakhs, assuming a consistent 12% CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate).

At first glance, this seems like solid growth — a gain of over ₹4.5 lakhs. People often take this number and start feeling financially confident. Some even start planning holidays or upgrades.

But here’s what they miss: This figure is not your real earning.


Tax and Inflation — The Hidden Killers

We often forget that what we see is not always what we get.

Let’s now subtract two invisible forces that quietly eat into your wealth:

1. Long-Term Capital Gains (LTCG) Tax (As of 2025)

From July 2024, the Government of India revised the LTCG tax on equity mutual funds:

  • 12.5% LTCG on gains exceeding ₹1.25 lakh per year
  • No indexation benefit

2. Inflation: The Silent Eroder

Inflation in India averages around 6% per year. That means what costs ₹100 today will cost ₹134 in 5 years. So, unless your money grows faster than inflation, your purchasing power actually falls.


Let’s Crunch the Numbers

ParticularsAmount (₹)
Investment₹6,00,000
Value after 5 years @12% CAGR₹10,52,000
Capital Gain₹4,52,000
LTCG Exemption (as per new rule)₹1,25,000
Taxable Gain₹3,27,000
LTCG Tax @12.5%₹40,875
Post-Tax Value₹10,11,125
Value after adjusting for 6% inflation~₹7,50,000 (approx.)
Real Gain~₹1.5 lakh over 5 years
Effective Real Return (CAGR)~5.2%

So, while your investment showed a 12% return, your actual real return is just around 5%.
And this is before considering fund fees or exit loads!


What Most Investors Overlook

The mutual fund industry often showcases CAGR in bold. But CAGR is a nominal number — it doesn’t account for real-life factors like tax or inflation.

Most retail investors:

  • Don’t factor in LTCG
  • Don’t adjust for inflation
  • Celebrate the “growth” without understanding the actual value added

This isn’t just a math problem. It’s a mindset gap.


Why Real Return Matters

Let’s say your money grows at 12% but inflation is 6%, and LTCG takes another 1.5% yearly on average.

Your effective wealth growth is barely 4.5% — and that’s not enough if you’re aiming for major goals like retirement, children’s education, or buying a home.

Remember:

“It’s not about how much you earn, but how much you keep — and what it can buy in the future.”


Smart Investors Think Differently

To really grow wealth, you must look beyond headline returns. Here’s how savvy investors do it:

1. Use Tax-Efficient Investment Vehicles

  • Index Funds: Less portfolio churn = lower realized capital gains
  • ELSS (Equity Linked Saving Scheme): Comes with ₹1.5 lakh deduction under Section 80C + LTCG applies only on actual withdrawals
  • Long-Term Holding: Avoid frequent buying/selling which triggers capital gains

2. Always Adjust for Inflation

When setting financial goals, don’t just say “I need ₹50 lakhs in 10 years.” Ask:

  • “What will ₹50 lakhs be worth in 10 years after 6% inflation?”
  • Use real return calculators to plan better

3. Look at Real CAGR

Before celebrating a 12% return, ask:

  • What’s the post-tax return?
  • What’s the post-inflation return?
  • Is it aligned with my financial goal timeline?

The Mindset Shift You Need

Most people are emotionally driven investors. If their fund shows a ₹3 lakh profit, they think they’re rich.

But real investors think long-term:

  • They focus on wealth preservation and growth
  • They evaluate investments based on net gain in purchasing power
  • They’re realistic about taxes, fees, and market risks

Real investing is not about feeling good — it’s about doing the math.


Key Takeaways

  • A 12% CAGR doesn’t mean a 12% profit in real life.
  • After the new 12.5% LTCG rule and 6% inflation, your real return may drop to ~5%.
  • Always calculate post-tax, post-inflation returns before judging performance.
  • Use tax-efficient strategies and review your portfolio with real growth in mind.

Final Thoughts

So, the next time someone says, “My SIP gave me 12% returns,” smile politely — and ask,

“Is that before or after tax and inflation?”

Because true financial literacy begins when you stop chasing shiny numbers and start understanding value.


For more no-fluff, honest financial content, follow Easy Finance on YouTube and visit easygyaan.com — where we simplify money, investing, and everything in between.

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